domain: sdv shs

text:
Hugo De Vries

Mechthild Donner

Monique Axelos

From growth to sustainable bioeconomy: a new cylindrical conceptual framework 1 6.1 Bioeconomy Systems

Is 'the case' sustainably evolving?

Our observations are:

• The case integrally considers all 7 'building blocks' of game theory.

• The business activities are between (order-chaos) limits, impacted by rules (e.g. no landfill, subventions,..); and tend to show helical patterns. • The outputs seem to be sustainable in all three pillars (PPP), thanks to combined business, social & technological innovations. • The case ('a bioeconomy system') seeks to sustainably evolve by continuously adapting and innovating all building blocks coherently.

Conclusions

 The conceptual framework seems to cover all 'building blocks' of sustainable bioeconomy (sub-)systems and allows following their evolution pathway.

 In particular it dynamically connects system 'building blocks', taking into account regulations and geographical dimensions.

 An extensive analysis has been possible for 8 cases  It permits to draw policy options for (territorialized) sustainable bioeconomy systems.

Behavior

  Introduction: key considerations for sustainable bioeconomy systems:  Sustainability defined by Brundtland in 1987  Concept of bioeconomy introduced in 2002 with focus on biotechnology, then on resources bioeconomy and now on ecological bioeconomy  Notion of boundaries by the Stockholm resilience centre: radar with planetary boundaries (Rockstrom et al, 2009)  Notion of social lower limits: doughnut (Raworth 2017)  EC sustainable and circular bioeconomy 2018  In France, INRAE strategy focusing on complex, territorial bioeconomy systems (https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-02866076; https://colloque.inrae.fr/bioeconomy2019/ )  But the question remains 'when are bioeconomies sustainable or unsustainable?' Methodology: fundamentals of sustainable bioeconomy systems • (Sustainable) bioeconomy systems can be integrally represented by the seven building blocks of game theory (I) • Bioeconomy systems are sustainable if they are continuously evolving between order and chaos (II) • The evolution is then following sinusoidal like patterns, and not continuous (linear, exponential,..) growth or decline ones; >> Combined sinusoidal patterns form helices, the most stable but dynamic configurations in nature (III) • (I) + (II) + (III) result in a conceptual framework, of a multiple cylinder configuration with an inner rigid zone, a sustainable safe operating zone and outer chaos zone . : sustainable bioeconomy systems are balancing in the melting zone between order and chaos 5 Number of different agents/actors 'N' / species / products / particles / .. : sustainable bioeconomy systems are revealing sinusoidal patterns which are jointly resulting in helices, very stable but dynamic configurations 6 the sum of sinusoidal curves of the behavior of players and utilization of pieces/products Source: Modified image of https:// www. radar tutor ial. eu/ 06. anten nas/ pic/zirku lanim. gif is included

(II)+(III) provide the following scheme: Verification of the appropriateness of the conceptual framework via case studies 9

Case study: valorization of agricultural waste and by-products > towards biogas and beyond: